Sydney Swans vs Melbourne Demons Predictions and Betting Tips
🏈 AFL Round 24 Match Preview
⏰ 27 August 2023 - 15:20 AEST
🏟 Stadium - Sydney Cricket Ground
Aussie Rules fans are gearing up for an entertaining contest when the Sydney Swans take on the Melbourne Demons. The AFL clubs go head-to-head on 27/08/2023 at 3:20pm AEST.
In anticipation of this highly-anticipated match, AusBetSites has gathered the latest betting odds from 3 Australian sportsbooks across 33 wagering markets. The oddsmakers had installed the Swans as favorites entering the game with moneyline odds of 1.69.
The Swans come into this final round clash with Melbourne riding a six-game winning streak. They were lucky to escape by a point against Adelaide last week after leading by 44 at one stage.
John Longmire's side will feature up to 20 players from last year's grand final lineup. Expect big games from Errol Gulden, Isaac Heeney and Chad Warner, who set up the win over the Crows.
The Demons have also found solid form, winning six of their past seven. They accounted for Hawthorn in a tough encounter last week, with Steven May and Jake Lever controlling the backline and Jack Viney again prolific with 25 disposals.
Jacob Van Rooyen and Jake Melksham combined for six goals but the Dees will want more from Clayton Oliver who was well held. Melbourne have the class but Sydney enjoy the home ground advantage. This should go down to the wire on Saturday night.
Sydney Swans vs Melbourne Demons Head-to-Head
The head-to-head record between these two AFL clubs over the past 3 years suggests this matchup could go either way. In their last 4 meetings, the Swans and Demons have each managed 2 wins apiece, with no draws. With the wins evenly split in recent seasons, this rivalry has proven to be a very competitive one. Based on the back-and-forth nature of this head-to-head, fans could be treated to a close contest when Sydney and Melbourne take the field. With both teams taking turns picking up wins against one another in the last few years, there is no clear favorite coming into this game. However, the Swans will have home field advantage which could give them a slight edge. But overall, the recent history points to an intense, down-to-the-wire clash between two closely matched teams.
Sydney Swans Performance
🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩 The Sydney Swans come into this match riding an impressive five-game winning streak. With five consecutive victories under their belt, it's clear this Swans team is firing on all cylinders right now. The squad seems to have hit its stride, with their confidence no doubt sky-high following the dominant string of wins. If Sydney can keep their momentum going and make it six triumphs in a row against the Demons, it would mark an incredibly dominant run that cements their status as a real force this season. Having secured five straight wins, the Swans will be determined to extend their exceptional form against their interstate rivals.
Melbourne Demons Performance
🟩🟥🟩🟩🟩 The Melbourne Demons come into this match in excellent form, having won four of their last five games. With four victories against just one defeat in their recent outings, the Demons have built strong momentum after finding consistency in their play. The four wins over the past five contests display Melbourne's ability to put together a dominant run of results. They'll look to maintain this promising form against the Swans. If the Demons can extend their impressive record to five wins from six games, it would mark an exceptionally dominant streak that cements their status as one of the competition's elite teams this season. Riding high after four triumphs in their last five matches, Melbourne will aim to keep their exceptional form going against Sydney.
📋 Players to watch:
- Chad Warner has had 25+ disposals in his past two games.
- Clayton Oliver has averaged 29.5 disposals in his last four vs the Swans.
- Jack Viney has had 25+ touches in his past nine matches.
- Errol Gulden is averaging 26 disposals per game this season.
- Isaac Heeney has kicked 2+ goals in his past five matches.
- Melbourne's Jacob Van Rooyen has kicked 27 goals from 18 games.
⚡ Match Facts:
- Sydney and Melbourne have 2 wins each in their last 4 meetings. The head-to-head is tied between these rivals.
- The Swans are in red-hot form, winning their last 5 straight. The Demons have also won 4 of 5 recently. Momentum could go either way.
- Sydney sits higher on the ladder at 7th with 12 wins compared to Melbourne down in 4th with 15 wins. The standings are close.
- The Swans have a powerful offence, averaging over 90 points per game this season. Their scoring can match the talented Demons.
- Home-field advantage could give Sydney a boost playing in front of their fans.
- A high-scoring game in the 80s or 90s range seems likely given the offensive talent on both teams.
- Overall, Sydney's home-ground edge and stellar attack suggest they can outlast Melbourne in a close, high-scoring thriller. I'll predict Sydney 93, Melbourne 84.
💡 Match Prediction:
According to predictive models, the Sydney Swans enter as favourites against the Melbourne Demons, but not overwhelmingly so. The probability sits at 59.1% for Sydney compared to 40.9% for Melbourne. That translates to fair odds of $1.69 for the Swans and $2.44 for the Demons, highlighting Sydney's modest projected edge. With both teams in excellent form lately, the betting market sees the Swans' home-ground advantage as giving them a slight boost over the interstate Demons.
The forecast calls for Sydney to prevail by an estimated 9 points in what should be a tightly contested match between two in-form rivals. However, Melbourne has the talent to keep it close or potentially spring an upset win.
Sydney vs Melbourne: 93-84 or Sydney to win by 9 points
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