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06 Jul 2023 / admin

Richmond Tigers vs Sydney Swans Predictions and Betting Tips

🏈 AFL Round 17 Match Preview

⏰ 8 July 2023 - 19:25 AEST

🏟 Stadium - Marvel Stadium

Get ready for an exciting AFL showdown between the St Kilda Saints and the Melbourne Demons. This highly anticipated event is scheduled to take place on the 8th of July 2023 at 09:25 UTC at Marvel Stadium in Melbourne, Australia.

The Melbourne Demons had a challenging game, managing to score only five goals, marking the fourth consecutive match in which they had scored eight goals or fewer. Given that both teams rank highly in terms of the fewest points conceded, goals may be scarce in this upcoming game. St Kilda has had a slightly better record in recent times when it comes to scoring, but they will be relying on Max King to contribute more, as he has only scored one goal in his last two games.

Bookie Home Win Away Win Take Action
@ 2.65 @ 1.48 BET NOW
@ 2.70 @ 1.47 BET NOW
@ 2.65 @ 1.47 BET NOW

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Melbourne will face the game without Bailey Fritsch, who is expected to be sidelined for a significant period due to a foot injury. Additionally, the much-anticipated return of Clayton Oliver remains uncertain, and his presence in this match could heavily influence the outcome, as there appears to be little that sets the two teams apart.

St Kilda displayed resilience in Round 16, overcoming a 24-point halftime deficit against West Coast to secure an eight-point victory at Optus Stadium. The impressive youngster Mitch Owens played a pivotal role, scoring four goals, while Rowan Marshall showcased dominance in the ruck. Jack Sinclair also contributed with another 30 disposals.

In Round 16, Melbourne travelled to a wet Alice Springs but failed to secure a victory, suffering a narrow two-point loss to GWS. Despite the notable performances of Jack Viney (41 disposals) and Christian Petracca (31), the Demons fell short in their pursuit of victory.

Kilda Saints Performance

The St Kilda Saints have experienced a varied performance in their last five games, managing to secure two wins but also enduring three losses. Their recent performance can be summarized as LWLLW.

Melbourne Demons Performance

The Melbourne Demons have had a mixed performance in their last five games, securing two wins and suffering three losses. Their recent performance can be summarized as LWWLL.

πŸ“‹ Players to watch:

  • Brad Crouch has showcased remarkable consistency in his recent performances, accumulating 25 or more disposals in each of his last five matches.
  • Christian Petracca has been an exceptional contributor in terms of disposals this season, maintaining an impressive average of 29.3 disposals per game.
  • Dan Butler has been in a goal-scoring spree, finding the back of the net in each of his previous ten matches.
  • Jack Sinclair has displayed excellent ball control, achieving 30 or more disposals in his last four matches.
  • Jack Viney has been a key playmaker, recording a total of 98 disposals over the course of the past three weeks, averaging an impressive 32.7 disposals per game.

⚑ Match Facts:

  • In the ongoing season, Melbourne has been conceding an average of 70.7 points per game, while St Kilda has allowed an average of 72 points.
  • It is worth noting that only Collingwood has been more stingy in terms of points conceded compared to these two teams in the year 2023.
  • When it comes to their performance, both Melbourne and St Kilda have a win-loss record of 9-6. Furthermore, the Demons have secured the 6th position in terms of goals scored this season, whereas St Kilda currently holds the 9th spot.

πŸ’‘ Match Prediction:

Based on the available data and analysis, the predicted outcome for the match between St Kilda and Melbourne suggests a probability of 29.8% for St Kilda to emerge victorious, while Melbourne has a higher probability of 70.2% for a win.

In terms of fair odds, St Kilda is estimated at $3.36, indicating that if successful, a bet on St Kilda would yield a return of $3.36 for every dollar wagered. On the other hand, Melbourne has fair odds of $1.42, implying a lower return of $1.42 for every dollar bet.

The forecast for the match predicts Melbourne to secure a victory with a margin of 21 points. However, it's important to note that these predictions are based on statistical analysis and various factors can influence the outcome of the game.

Bookie Home Win Match Line Away Win Take Action
@ 1.90
+12.5 / -12.5
@ 1.90 BET NOW
@ 1.90
+11.5 / -11.5
@ 1.90 BET NOW
@ 1.88
+12.5 / -12.5
@ 1.90 BET NOW

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