Fremantle Dockers vs Port Adelaide Power Predictions and Betting Tips
🏈 AFL Round 23 Match Preview
⏰ 20 August 2023 - 19:50 AEST
🏟 Stadium - Marvel Stadium
AFL fans are in for a thriller on Sunday 20 August when Fremantle Dockers take on Port Adelaide Power at 16:40 AEST.
The clash at Optus Stadium between these two finals hopefuls promises excitement for footy supporters. AusBetSites provides the latest betting odds from 30 markets across 37 leading Australian sportsbooks. The Power go in as favorites, with bookies placing them at $1.50 to claim the win on the road.
Fremantle come off a record 101-point derby thrashing of West Coast last round. Lachie Schultz, Jye Amiss and Sam Sturt combined for 13 goals, feasting on the work of prolific ball-winners Angus Brayshaw and Caleb Serong (both 30+ disposals).
That same weekend, Port Adelaide snapped a four-game losing run by beating GWS by 51 points. Dominant Power midfielders Zak Butters, Ollie Wines and Connor Rozee found ample possessions, while four players booted three goals each.
The win sewed up a top-four spot for Port, who now trail second-placed Brisbane only on percentage. If the Lions slip up on Friday night and Port win here, the Power will be primed to host a home final.
However, Port has won just once from six attempts at Optus Stadium, with that solitary victory coming against lowly West Coast. But with confidence renewed after last week, and plenty on the line, Port should have the class to conquer their poor record in Perth.
Fremantle Dockers vs Port Adelaide Power Head-to-Head
The recent head-to-head between Fremantle and Port Adelaide shows these sides have traded wins in their past two meetings. Over the last 3 seasons, the Dockers and Power have faced off twice, with Port winning the first contest and Fremantle claiming victory in the second matchup. With the ledger even at 1 win apiece, this Sunday's clash looms as a rubber match. The Power will be looking to break the deadlock and regain the upper hand over the Dockers. However, Fremantle has proven they can match it with Port Adelaide, and playing at home will back themselves to continue that trend. This shapes as an intriguing contest between two sides with a developing rivalry.
Fremantle Dockers Performance
🟥🟥🟩🟥🟩 The Fremantle Dockers come into this match with inconsistent form in recent weeks. The Dockers have won 2 of their past 5 games, but also suffered 3 defeats over that period. Flashes of promise have been shown, including a dominant win over the Swans. However, a lack of four-quarter effort has cost Fremantle in other matches. Back playing at home, the Dockers will be determined to put together a complete performance against the Power. A win would keep their finals hopes alive.
Port Adelaide Power Performance
🟩🟥🟥🟥🟥 It has been a disappointing month for Port Adelaide, recording just 1 win from their last 5 games alongside 4 losses. The Power have struggled to find their groove, with injuries and poor execution letting them down. However, Port Adelaide remains a highly capable team on their day, with match-winners on the ground. This interstate trip to face the Dockers is the perfect opportunity for the Power to rediscover their mojo. Port will back themselves to bounce back against a Fremantle side prone to lapses.
📋 Players to watch:
- Ollie Wines has averaged 33 disposals in his last 4 games against Fremantle.
- Zak Butters has recorded 30+ disposals in his past 4 matches.
- Andrew Brayshaw has had 25+ disposals in his past 15 matches.
- Caleb Serong has tallied 30+ disposals in 7 of 9 games, averaging 30.8 disposals per match this AFL season.
- Todd Marshall has kicked 5 goals over the past 2 rounds.
- Jye Amiss has kicked 38 goals this AFL season.
These stats highlight some in-form players and key historical matchups. Prolific ball-winners like Wines, Butters, Brayshaw and Serong should be prominent. Meanwhile, emerging forwards Marshall and Amiss have been contributing goals regularly. With the talent on both teams, this shapes as an intriguing battle.
⚡ Match Facts:
- Port Adelaide has won 3 of its past 4 matches against Fremantle.
- The Power have won just once in six attempts at Optus Stadium.
- Port sits third on the ladder with 15 wins while ninth-placed Fremantle has won nine games.
These points show Port's strong recent record against the Dockers. However, Optus has been an unhappy hunting ground for Port. The Power's far superior ladder position also demonstrates their better form and consistency this season. But Fremantle will be eager to leverage home ground advantage to score an upset that dents Port's top-four hopes.
💡 Match Prediction:
The forecast expects a tight contest between two evenly-matched sides. Port Adelaide's scoring power may be slightly restricted away from home, so 14 goals seems reasonable. Meanwhile, Fremantle should put up a competitive score around 13 goals playing at Optus Stadium. The 4 point final margin fits with the prediction of the Power edging out the Dockers in a close one. This projected scoreline reflects two hungry teams going toe-to-toe, with Port Adelaide predicted to just do enough to claim a hard-fought victory.
Despite their poor recent form, Port Adelaide are narrowly favored to beat Fremantle in a close contest on Sunday. The Power have been given a 54.0% chance of winning, compared to 46.0% for the Dockers. The fair odds also have Port Adelaide as slight favorites at $1.85, with Fremantle at $2.17.
With the Dockers playing at home, the forecast still tips the Power to edge them out by 4 points or more. Port will be desperate to kickstart their season and have the talent when firing. However, Fremantle will be no pushovers on their home deck. This looms as a tight tussle that could go either way.
Fremantle Dockers vs Port Adelaide Power Score Prediction: 14.9 (93) - 13.11 (89)
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