Collingwood Magpies vs GWS Giants Predictions and Betting Tips

🏈 AFL Semi-Final Match Preview

⏰ 22 September 2023 - 19:50 AEST

🏟 Stadium - Melbourne Cricket Ground (Melbourne)

The Collingwood Magpies will host the GWS Giants in an entertaining AFL clash at the MCG on Friday 22 September 2023 at 19:50 AEST.

AusBetSites provides odds for both teams across 37 betting markets and 50 sportsbooks. Currently, the bookies have installed the Magpies as 1.43 favourites to win on home turf.

The Pies will have fresh legs after enjoying a week off following their 7-point win over Melbourne in week one of the finals. Bobby Hill and Dan McStay combined for 5 goals in that tight victory, overcoming a lacklustre inside-50 count with strong defensive efforts.

The surging Giants have won 11 of their last 13 matches, including strong finals wins over St Kilda and Port Adelaide. Their running style targets forwards like Jesse Hogan and Toby Greene, who booted 7 goals together last week. Lachie Whitfield, Stephen Coniglio and Tom Green have been prolific through the midfield.

The Giants return to the MCG where they lost to the Pies by 65 points in Round 9. But Adam Kingsley's men have improved dramatically since then and should make this a much tighter contest.

The Magpies will be tough to beat on home soil and get a boost from Nick Daicos's return. But they'll miss Taylor Adams's experience in midfield. Backed by a boisterous home crowd, the Pies can book a Grand Final spot against either Brisbane or Carlton.

📋 Players to watch:

• Jeremy Howe averaged 18 disposals over his last 4 matches against the Giants, and 18.5 in the past 2.
• Jack Crisp has had 20+ disposals in his last 9 matches.
• Tom Mitchell recorded 36 disposals last time these teams met. His last 4 matches averaged 27.
• Lachie Whitfield is averaging 29 disposals over his past 9 matches.
• Tom Green has tallied 30+ disposals in 5 of his last 6, with 25 in the other.
• Jamie Elliott has kicked 28 goals in his past 11 matches.
• Toby Greene has booted 9 goals in his last 3 versus the Pies.

⚡ Match Facts:

• The Magpies have won their last 2 matches against the Giants, though GWS took the previous 4.
• In 14 all-time meetings, Collingwood leads 8-6.
• GWS defeated the Pies by 4 points in the 2019 Preliminary Final.
• Collingwood finished top in 2022's home and away season, with GWS 7th.

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💡 Match Prediction:

Collingwood to win. The Magpies are in strong form, coming off a finals win over Melbourne. GWS has also found good form but I expect the Pies' superior list and home ground advantage to get them over the line.

Betting Tips: Collingwood -14.5 point line

With Nick Daicos back in the side, I expect the Magpies to control play through the midfield. Their scoring power up forward with Elliott should see them cover the line comfortably.

Tip: Over 155.5 total match points

Both teams have shown scoring prowess lately. Collingwood is averaging over 100 points per game over their last 5, while GWS has scored over 90 in 4 of their past 5. Points should flow freely.

To summarise:

Collingwood to win

Collingwood -14.5

Over 155.5 points