Carlton Blues vs GWS Giants Predictions and Betting Tips
🏈 AFL Round 24 Match Preview
⏰ 27 August 2023 - 18:10 AEST
🏟 Stadium - Marvel Stadium
Aussie Rules fans are gearing up for an entertaining contest when the Carlton Blues take on the GWS Giants. The AFL clubs go head-to-head on 27/08/2023 at 6:10pm AEST.
In anticipation of this highly-anticipated match, AusBetSites has gathered the latest betting odds from 3 Aussie bookies across 37 wagering markets. The oddsmakers have installed the Blues as favorites entering the game with moneyline odds of 1.48.
Carlton come into this final round clash with GWS off the back of a thrilling 4-point win over the Suns last week, which sealed their spot in the finals. The Blues currently sit 5th on the ladder and can finish anywhere between 5th and 7th depending on other results. A win here will lock up 5th spot and a home final for Michael Voss' side.
Against the Suns, Carlton came from 40 points down to record their ninth straight victory. Charlie Curnow sparked the fightback with 5 goals, while Sam Docherty, Zac Fisher and Nic Newman were prolific with 25+ disposals each. They'll need to bring that same hunger against the Giants.
GWS thumped Essendon by 126 points last week, with Jesse Hogan booting 9 goals and Tom Green racking up 39 disposals. A win for the Giants books their finals spot, while a loss could see them miss out if the Bulldogs beat Geelong.
Carlton Blues vs GWS Giants Head-to-Head
The head-to-head record between these two AFL clubs over the past 3 years suggests this matchup could go either way. In their last 5 meetings, the Blues and Giants have each managed 3 and 2 wins apiece, with no draws. Despite the Giants having one more win recently, the head-to-head has been evenly split in recent seasons. With both teams taking turns picking up wins against one another in the last few years, this rivalry has proven to be a competitive one. Based on the back-and-forth nature of this head-to-head, fans could be treated to a close contest when Carlton and GWS take the field. With the teams trending even against each other lately, picking a clear favorite is tough to predict.
Carlton Blues Performance
🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩 The Carlton Blues come into this match riding an impressive five-game winning streak. With five consecutive victories under their belt, it's clear this Blues team is firing on all cylinders right now. The squad seems to have hit its stride, with their confidence no doubt sky-high following the dominant string of wins. If the Blues can keep their momentum going and make it six triumphs in a row against the Giants, it would mark an incredibly dominant run that cements their status as a real force this season. Having secured five straight wins, Carlton will be determined to extend their exceptional form against their interstate rivals.
GWS Giants Performance
🟩🟥🟥🟩🟩 The GWS Giants come into this match in solid form, having won three of their last five games. With three victories against two losses in their recent outings, the Giants have built some positive momentum after a stretch of inconsistent play. The three wins over the past five contests display GWS's ability to put together a run of good performances. They'll look to maintain this promising form against the Blues. If the Giants can extend their impressive record to four wins from six games, it would mark a dominant run that further cements their status as one of the competition's in-form teams. Riding high after three triumphs in their last five matches, GWS will aim to keep their strong play going against Carlton.
📋 Players to watch:
- Josh Kelly has averaged 32 disposals in his last 3 games vs the Blues.
- Carlton's Sam Docherty has averaged 31 disposals in his last 3 against GWS.
- Patrick Cripps has averaged 30 disposals in his past 3 clashes with the Giants.
- Tom Green has averaged 36 disposals in his last 3 matches.
- Stephen Coniglio is averaging 28 disposals per game this season.
- Charlie Curnow leads the Coleman Medal with the most goals.
⚡ Match Facts:
- Carlton and GWS have split their last 5 meetings with 3 wins apiece. The head-to-head is very even between these rivals.
- The Blues are in red-hot form, winning their last 5 straight games. Meanwhile, the Giants have gone 3-2 recently. Momentum favours Carlton.
- Carlton sits higher on the ladder at 5th with 13 wins compared to GWS down in 8th with 12 wins. The standings give the Blues an edge.
- The Blues have the best offence in the AFL, averaging over 90 points per game this season. Their scoring power is a key advantage.
- GWS has struggled on the road this season, winning just 4 games away from home. This game is in Melbourne.
- A high-scoring game of around 80 points seems likely given the offensive strengths of both teams. I'll give a slight edge to the in-form Blues.
- Overall, Carlton's superior recent form suggests they should be able to continue their winning run. But the Giants have the talent to keep it close. I predict an 82-68 win for the Blues.
💡 Match Prediction:
According to predictive models, the Carlton Blues enter as favourites against the GWS Giants but not by a wide margin. The probability sits at 62.6% for Carlton compared to 37.4% for GWS. That translates to fair odds of $1.60 for the Blues and $2.67 for the Giants, highlighting Carlton's moderate projected edge. With Carlton in stellar form on a 5-game winning streak and GWS also playing solid football lately, the betting market sees the in-form Blues as safer picks but by no means unbeatable.
The forecast calls for Carlton to prevail by an estimated 13 points in what should be a tightly contested match between two in-form teams. However, the data suggests the Giants could easily spring an upset.
Carlton Blues vs GWS Giants: 82-68 or Carlton to win by 13 points
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