07 Jul 2023 / admin

Essendon Bombers vs Adelaide Crows Predictions and Betting Tips

🏈 AFL Round 17 Match Preview

⏰ 9 July 2023 - 15:20 AEST

🏟 Stadium - Marvel Stadium

Get ready for an exhilarating showdown in the AFL between the Essendon Bombers and the Adelaide Crows. This highly anticipated spectacle is scheduled to take place on the 9th of July 2023 at 15:20 AEST at Marvel Stadium in Melbourne, Australia.

This is a momentous game with significant implications for both teams. Adelaide currently occupies the 7th spot on the ladder, while Essendon is positioned at 8th. The victorious side has the potential to rise as high as 5th by the end of the round, whereas the vanquished team is likely to find themselves in 9th place, as Geelong is heavily favoured to triumph over North Melbourne later in the day.

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The lingering query regarding the Crows revolves around their ability to deliver on away games. In the year 2023, Adelaide has emerged triumphant only once in six matches played outside of South Australia, with their sole victory being a narrow three-point escape against Hawthorn back in Round 6.

However, their most recent voyage to Melbourne saw them give Collingwood a run for their money, narrowly succumbing to the ladder leaders by a mere two points in Round 15 at the MCG. The Crows are yet to make a trip to Marvel Stadium this season and endured defeat in all three of their encounters at the venue in 2022, including a loss to Essendon.

Following a devastating four-point defeat against Port Adelaide, courtesy of Dan Houston's after-the-siren goal, Essendon is looking to rebound. Kyle Langford managed to score three goals, while Darcy Parish and Zach Merrett combined for a total of 60 disposals in the face of defeat.

On the same weekend, the Adelaide Crows dominated North Melbourne, securing a resounding victory by a margin of 66 points. Izak Rankine and Darcy Fogarty teamed up to notch a combined tally of nine goals, with Jordan Dawson, Ben Keays, and Rory Sloane among the primary contributors in terms of disposals.

Essendon Bombers Performance

The Essendon Bombers have displayed exceptional prowess at Marvel Stadium this season, consistently surpassing expectations in six out of their previous eight matches at the venue.

Adelaide Crows Performance

Adelaide's potential is clearly demonstrated by their closely-fought match against Collingwood, indicating a high level of performance. However, the team has encountered difficulties when playing away from their home ground. The outcome of this match is uncertain, but if the strongest Adelaide Crows lineup performs, I believe they will emerge victorious in a high-scoring encounter.

📋 Players to watch:

In his previous four encounters with Essendon, Rory Laird has consistently maintained an average of 29.8 disposals.
Over the course of the last six matches, Andy McGrath has been recording an average of just below 24 disposals.
In his recent three games against Adelaide, Zach Merrett has managed to maintain an average of 33 disposals.
Jordan Dawson, in his past five games, has been showcasing an average of 31 disposals.
Taylor Walker, in his last three games against the Bombers, has successfully scored a total of seven goals.
Throughout the 2023 season, Darcy Parish has been consistently averaging 29 disposals.

⚡ Match Facts:

Adelaide holds the coveted top position in the competition for goals scored in the year 2023, while Essendon currently sits in 8th place.
Notably, Essendon has emerged triumphant in their last five encounters against the Adelaide Crows, with three of those victories taking place at Marvel Stadium.
The Essendon Bombers and the Adelaide Crows share an equal win-loss record of 8 to 7.

💡 Match Prediction:

Based on the prediction, there is a 48.8% probability that Essendon will emerge victorious in the upcoming match against Adelaide, while Adelaide holds a slightly higher probability of 51.2% to secure the win. If we translate these probabilities into fair odds, Essendon would have odds of $2.05, while Adelaide would have odds of $1.95. The forecast indicates that Adelaide is expected to win by a narrow margin of 1 point.