Argentina vs Chile Prediction and Betting Tips

🏈 Rugby World Cup 2023 Match Preview

⏰ 30 September 2023 - 14:00 GMT +1

⏰ 30 September 2023 - 23:00 AEST

🏟 Stadium - Stade de la Beaujoire (Nantes)

History will be made when Argentina and Chile meet in a Rugby World Cup clash for the first time on Saturday in Nantes. The Pumas need a win to stay in contention for second in Pool D after losing to England but bouncing back against Samoa. RWC newcomers Chile suffered a 71-0 thrashing by England last week, their third straight loss.

Despite being ranked 8th, only top-ranked Ireland have conceded fewer than Argentina's 22 points per game. Winger Emiliano Boffelli also boasts the fourth highest dominant carry percentage. With a 39-0 head-to-head record, Argentina should claim an authoritative win in this 'Battle of South America'.

Coach Michael Cheika has made 11 changes from the Samoa win but insists it's a strong XV deserving of playing at the World Cup. Fly-half Nicolás Sánchez will win his 100th cap in a city where Argentina famously beat France in 1992.

After leading against Japan and Samoa, Chile were completely outplayed by England. Coach Paul Lemoine admitted they were on a "different level" and Chile lost control too quickly. Eight changes have been made, with Nicolas Herreros and Augusto Sarmiento in line for their World Cup debuts. Captain Martin Sigren remains Chile's top ball carrier.

While the Condors scored double digits against Japan and Samoa, they're clear underdogs. They did beat an Argentina B team in 2021 but the Pumas have won the last 7 clashes by 50+ points.

📋 Players to watch:

• Veteran winger Juan Imhoff has 35 RWC points for Argentina. Three tries would bring up 100 overall.
• José Ignacio Larenas usually plays center but will start on the wing targeting his 11th international try.

⚡ Match Facts:

• Argentina's 39-0 head-to-head record suggests a comfortable win.
• They have won 7 of the last 8 meetings by 50+ points.
• Chile have been competitive early on before tiring.
• Argentina are focused on sealing a quarterfinal place.
• Eleven changes for Argentina could slow their start.

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💡 Match Prediction:

Argentina are heavy favorites and should win comfortably based on the stats and 39-0 head-to-head record. However, with 11 changes, Argentina may start slowly if the revised lineup lacks cohesion. Chile performed respectably against Japan and Samoa before being overwhelmed by England. They could stay competitive early on. Prediction: Argentina by 25-30 points.

Betting Tips:

Point Spread: Argentina -28.5

• Argentina should ultimately pull away to cover a 4 touchdown spread.

Moneyline: Argentina -2000, Chile +1000

• No value with Argentina at -2000. Chile at +1000 is a small price but the upset is highly unlikely.

Total Points: Over/Under 44.5

• Take the OVER. Argentina should hit 30+ and Chile can contribute points early.